Morgan Stanley Sees Asian LNG Prices Soaring to 3.5-Year High
Morgan Stanley forecasts Asian LNG benchmark prices to hit $25/MMBtu in H2 2026, the highest in 3.5 years, driven by summer electricity demand and EU storage refilling needs.

Morgan Stanley analysts project that Asian benchmark LNG prices will surge to $25 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in the second half of 2026, marking the highest level in three and a half years. The forecast, reported by Bloomberg, cites rising electricity demand during the summer months and the European Union's need to refill depleted gas storage sites as key drivers.
The anticipated price jump reflects a tightening global LNG market. Asia's benchmark LNG price, often linked to the Japan Korea Marker (JKM), is expected to rise sharply from current levels as demand from both Asia and Europe competes for limited supply. For energy traders, this signals potential upward pressure on natural gas prices globally, with implications for fuel switching and power generation costs. NowPrice's real-time fuel quotes can help traders track the latest LNG price movements across key hubs.
Looking ahead, market participants will monitor summer heatwaves in Asia and Europe, which could further boost cooling demand, as well as the pace of EU gas storage injections. Any supply disruptions from major exporters like Australia, Qatar, or the US could also amplify price gains. The Morgan Stanley note underscores the growing importance of LNG as a flexible fuel source in the global energy transition.